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  #1  
Old 10-16-2005, 06:10 PM
TreyOfLight TreyOfLight is offline
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Default Re: NL50 Bet this river?

Wouldn't a turn bet (in position) be more likely to shut out a worse ace, who has to worry about another bet before showdown?
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  #2  
Old 10-16-2005, 06:31 PM
mason55 mason55 is offline
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Default Re: NL50 Bet this river?

[ QUOTE ]
Wouldn't a turn bet (in position) be more likely to shut out a worse ace, who has to worry about another bet before showdown?

[/ QUOTE ]

If he's calling preflop and on the flop with a dominated ace he probably isn't thinking about this in my experience at least.
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  #3  
Old 10-16-2005, 06:41 PM
yvesaint yvesaint is offline
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Default Re: NL50 Bet this river?

check turn, bet river

you bet the turn, you bloat the pot in the river

you bet the turn, what are you doing if he bets 2/3 pot on river?

you bet the turn, what are you doing when he checks? betting 1/2 pot, folding to a raise? ugly. checking behind? ugly.

check turn, making him "pay to hit his kicker" is silly, he has 3 outs most likely, or we are wayyy behind and have 0-3 outs. the EV of getting him to "value bet" his weaker aces outweighs the chance that he hits one of his few outs.

do you really think he calls another 2/3 to pot-sized bet on the turn with something like A2-A7? even if he does, is he going to call another bet on the river? this is clearly a WA/WB situation, no huge draws out there

check turn, bet river is a very good line to take here

the times i do bet turn + river is when i have a good read of him as a calling station
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  #4  
Old 10-16-2005, 06:42 PM
yvesaint yvesaint is offline
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Default Re: NL50 Bet this river?

also, i check the turn with TPTK all the time, its definitely +EV on dry boards
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