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  #1  
Old 09-09-2004, 11:07 PM
Senor Choppy Senor Choppy is offline
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Posts: 320
Default Re: 2 Semi-Bluff Turn Raises

[ QUOTE ]
it would have been an error not to re-raise here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless by making a raise that's slight +EV now he gives up more profitable situations later, like getting paid off when he hits the nut flush.

I'd 3 bet too, but it isn't necessarily an error given how tight his opponents seem.
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  #2  
Old 09-11-2004, 01:00 PM
bigpooch bigpooch is offline
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Location: Vancouver, Canada
Posts: 759
Default Re: 2 Semi-Bluff Turn Raises

It's a clear error in terms of EV in BBs. Even if exactly
one opponent is drawing to the same straight, there is also
a small chance that by pairing on an ace the hero can win.
So you can consider there to be approximately 13 outs out of
46. In addition, you will also gain more EV if it gets
capped 4-way, so not failing to raise is an error of more
than 0.15 BB and so it's still a clear error (a "whopper" to
borrow from backgammon lingo). On the other hand, there is
a tiny chance that these players will put in two bets cold
on the turn and surrender for another two! (But not in this
day and age! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] )
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  #3  
Old 09-12-2004, 03:28 PM
Senor Choppy Senor Choppy is offline
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Posts: 320
Default Re: 2 Semi-Bluff Turn Raises

This is being completely results oriented, but notice the river action where his opponents both folded after he capped. It seems clear that in this particular hand that the cap on the turn cost him money.
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