Bottom set vs. lots of aggression

Jimbobobb · #1 09-05-2004, 05:17 PM

My first orbit, haven't seen MP2 play a hand yet.

Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
Hero calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 raises, CO folds, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, Hero calls, MP1 calls.

Flop: (12 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, MP1 checks, MP2 bets, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, Hero raises, MP1 calls, MP2 3-bets, Button calls, SB folds, BB calls, Hero caps, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, Button calls, BB calls.

Turn: (15.50 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, MP2 raises, Button calls, BB folds, Hero 3-bets, MP2 caps, Button calls, Hero calls.

River: (27.50 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, MP2 raises, Button folds, Hero calls.

Who 3-bets here? At this point I'm almost positive he has JJ. But lots of people refuse to believe their overpairs are beat, and will cap KK/AA all day long. Without knowing which my opponent is, I don't think I can 3-bet this with confidence.

Final Pot: 31.50 BB

topspin · #2 09-05-2004, 05:28 PM

Against anyone but a maniac, given the PFR and all the capping JJ is the only reasonable hand; most players would slow down with just one pair (even if it is an overpair), and no 2-pair flop hand would raise PF. I definitely don't 3-bet the river, and might consider check-calling instead of betting out after the turn is capped again.

detruncate · #3 09-05-2004, 07:02 PM

I don't 3-bet. In fact I thought hard about whether I'd lead, but we're really only worried about JJ, and some people are fond of overplaying an overpair on a board like this (like me, for instance), so I think we need to bet call a raise. Nice hand.