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#1
08-12-2004, 11:28 AM
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Can I safely fold?
game is 2/4 at AP. willie24 is in SB with AA.
UTG folds UTG2 folds MP1 folds MP2 calls LP folds button calls SB (willie24) raises BB calls MP2 calls button calls. Flop is: 10 Q K (rainbow) SB (willie24) bets. BB calls MP1 folds button folds turn: 10 Q K + 5 SB (willie24) bets BB calls river: 10 Q K 5 + K SB (willie24) bets BB raises Pot is $37. Bet to willie24 is $4 BB is a woman who is passive/tight. 
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#2
08-12-2004, 11:30 AM
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Re: Can I safely fold?
I think you need to call this - you only need to be good 13% of the time to make it a profitable call.
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#3
08-12-2004, 03:16 PM
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Re: Can I safely fold?
[ QUOTE ]
Can I safely fold? [/ QUOTE ] Can you fold? Yes. You're probably losing. Can you fold safely? No. If you fold this heads up against your sole opponent, and these players are paying an inkling of attention expect to see a lot more aggression towards you in the future. Garland
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#4
08-12-2004, 03:21 PM
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Re: Can I safely fold?
You are probably beat but must not fold. Players will start raising your bets everytime a scare card comes on the river and then you'll be on your way to a tough session. Just make the crying call.
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#5
08-12-2004, 03:38 PM
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Re: Can I safely fold?
good point. I think if i had this to do over again i would fold - for the simple reason that my opponent was quite passive and I know that she would be so terrified of me having 3 kings that she would never raise without having 3 herself or something better.
As for perceptive players trying to take advantage of my willingness to fold in this situation- the more i think about it, the more i welcome it. I would not fold this hand against a player who has average aggression, so river bluffs against me would likely favor me. by the way i called and she showed k8
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