Getting Crazy : AQs on the Button

[Bubmack]

[ QUOTE ]



The BB bets out and UTG raises. MP1 folds, MP2 folds, and the CO 3-bets. I call.

[/ QUOTE ]

hmmm - even if you believe the BB will call the two extra bets you have a 27 SB pot and the call costs 3 or 9-1. Worst Case is you have to call a cap on the way back and the BB does not come along. I think that would be 28-4 or 7-1. Your draw is 11-1 to make the hand on the turn. (I dont care what your odds of making it on the next two cards are since it is very likely to be more than one bet to call on the turn) IMO, If there is any value there it is extremely slim..dont bother with it. Yea you can maybe add another out for your runner runner flush...but we also need to consider that you might hit your str8 and still not win the hand.




[ QUOTE ]

Turn comes: J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

BB checks, UTG checks, CO bets. I call, BB check-raises, UTG folds. CO calls, I call. 3 of us for 21 BB's.



[/ QUOTE ]

Unfortunately I think you have to call here. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]


[ QUOTE ]

River comes: T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

BB bets, CO raises, I cold-call, BB 3-bets, CO calls, I fold.



[/ QUOTE ]

Now this laydown on the end almost made me cry. You folded to the pot laying 28-1 [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] I think you will win this pot at least one out of ten times? Maybe 1-15? Call!

bubs