Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > Multi-table Tournaments
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #3  
Old 02-19-2004, 04:09 PM
M.B.E. M.B.E. is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Vancouver, B.C.
Posts: 1,552
Default Re: Another $50 NLHE Stars question???

These endgame questions can be interesting, but you have to provide more information about the stack sizes of the other players and the percentage payouts for 1st through 7th.

It seems that your opponent in the SB had you covered, but by a lot or a little? That's important because if you decide to move in, it will be a semibluff and it's more likely to be effective when your opponent will be crippled if he calls and loses.

Also as the other poster noted, your description of the flop action is unclear.

Anyway, by my count 16000 went in the pot preflop, probably more like 18000 including antes. You've got 47000 left.

When you see that flop you know that if your opponent happens to have a jack, you've got about a 37% chance of winning the pot if you stay in until the river. It's the same if he has TT/QQ/KK/AA. If he has a small pocket pair (other than 88 or 33 of course) or just middle pair like A8, your hand has 14 outs and is actually a small favourite -- but more important, he'll usually fold to your bet if that's all he has. That's assuming your opponent checked. You have to give serious consideration to betting here. The only reason not to bet would be if there's a couple of small stacks close to being blinded out -- in that case, you'd rather save your chips since you have a good chance of squeaking into fifth place, whereas if you play on this hand and lose it, you'll finish seventh.

If your opponent bet out on the flop, the decision is more difficult and depends on the chip positions of other players in the hand. It also depends on how much he bet.

All that being said, when you have an openended straight draw on a flop like this, you really should not put in 25% of your stack (12000) and then fold to a raise. Your hand just has too many outs for that.
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:33 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.