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  #1  
Old 12-28-2005, 06:50 AM
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Default Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board

It would take a very strong read to put BOTH opponents on draws here. With that said, your other option leaves you looking like you are drawing against two pair. You have the Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] so your Q 2 pair draw is good, 3 outs. I think it's safe to say that hitting your gutshot where the 10 is a heart is not a sure way to win.

They might very well already have a straight and you are drawing to 2 Ts.

Any way im looking at it, you have 6 BBs in the pot on the turn and at best have 5 clean outs.
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  #2  
Old 12-28-2005, 07:22 AM
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Default Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board

[ QUOTE ]
Any way im looking at it, you have 6 BBs in the pot on the turn and at best have 5 clean outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Which is why I folded, I figured I had to be beat and the pot wasn't big enough to justify continuing with the hand.

Now that I've had some more time to think about the hand, I see that JT could be another likely hand for SB. If he would c/r 2-pair in this spot wouldn't he also c/r with TP OESD? Also given my read on SB as a TAG player and the fact that his play up to this point has been pretty straight foward. It's been about 30-ish hands or so. My gut tells me that he is more likely to bet out with 2-pair and slowplay a straight.
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  #3  
Old 12-28-2005, 07:29 AM
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Default Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Any way im looking at it, you have 6 BBs in the pot on the turn and at best have 5 clean outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Now that I've had some more time to think about the hand, I see that JT could be another likely hand for SB. If he would c/r 2-pair in this spot wouldn't he also c/r with TP OESD? Also given my read on SB as a TAG player and the fact that his play up to this point has been pretty straight foward. It's been about 30-ish hands or so. My gut tells me that he is more likely to bet out with 2-pair and slowplay a straight.

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Indeed JT is a possible hand, you are very right. My question is what is similiar between the two pair and the TP+OESD that would make him want to check that flop?(keep in mind there was no preflop aggression...he's not checking to the raiser here.)

Very interesting.

Did they show down?
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  #4  
Old 12-28-2005, 10:37 AM
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Default Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board

My take on a 3 bet on the flop is that someone is generally protecting an overcard. If somebody had a straight, they -might- be protecting against the flush, but more than likely not.

BB could have anything, and SB probably has top pair or 2 pair. I wouldn't put him on a straight.
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  #5  
Old 12-29-2005, 05:47 AM
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Default Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board

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Did they show down?

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SB showed down QJo, and BB had Tx.

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And just for fun: Your SB Tag read means very little after 30 hands

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True, but it's all I've got at this point, and with BB sticking around to play, I just couldn't see that I had the best hand at the moment. Obviously I was wrong, but had this been HU without BB, this would be an easy call down for me.
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