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#1
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Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board
It would take a very strong read to put BOTH opponents on draws here. With that said, your other option leaves you looking like you are drawing against two pair. You have the Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] so your Q 2 pair draw is good, 3 outs. I think it's safe to say that hitting your gutshot where the 10 is a heart is not a sure way to win.
They might very well already have a straight and you are drawing to 2 Ts. Any way im looking at it, you have 6 BBs in the pot on the turn and at best have 5 clean outs. |
#2
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Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board
[ QUOTE ]
Any way im looking at it, you have 6 BBs in the pot on the turn and at best have 5 clean outs. [/ QUOTE ] Which is why I folded, I figured I had to be beat and the pot wasn't big enough to justify continuing with the hand. Now that I've had some more time to think about the hand, I see that JT could be another likely hand for SB. If he would c/r 2-pair in this spot wouldn't he also c/r with TP OESD? Also given my read on SB as a TAG player and the fact that his play up to this point has been pretty straight foward. It's been about 30-ish hands or so. My gut tells me that he is more likely to bet out with 2-pair and slowplay a straight. |
#3
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Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Any way im looking at it, you have 6 BBs in the pot on the turn and at best have 5 clean outs. [/ QUOTE ] Now that I've had some more time to think about the hand, I see that JT could be another likely hand for SB. If he would c/r 2-pair in this spot wouldn't he also c/r with TP OESD? Also given my read on SB as a TAG player and the fact that his play up to this point has been pretty straight foward. It's been about 30-ish hands or so. My gut tells me that he is more likely to bet out with 2-pair and slowplay a straight. [/ QUOTE ] Indeed JT is a possible hand, you are very right. My question is what is similiar between the two pair and the TP+OESD that would make him want to check that flop?(keep in mind there was no preflop aggression...he's not checking to the raiser here.) Very interesting. Did they show down? |
#4
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Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board
My take on a 3 bet on the flop is that someone is generally protecting an overcard. If somebody had a straight, they -might- be protecting against the flush, but more than likely not.
BB could have anything, and SB probably has top pair or 2 pair. I wouldn't put him on a straight. |
#5
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Re: QJo vs TAG 3-bet on a Jh 9s 8h board
[ QUOTE ]
Did they show down? [/ QUOTE ] SB showed down QJo, and BB had Tx. [ QUOTE ] And just for fun: Your SB Tag read means very little after 30 hands [/ QUOTE ] True, but it's all I've got at this point, and with BB sticking around to play, I just couldn't see that I had the best hand at the moment. Obviously I was wrong, but had this been HU without BB, this would be an easy call down for me. |
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