![]() |
|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
I think the only problem might be that he won't pay off with a big Q, and in fact is planning to raise-fold himself. You would expect him to call KQ here?
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
I'm not sure how often he's going to pay off with one pair hands here. his range does seem pretty narrow, but there are 16 combos of AQ/KQ out, AT/AK diamonds, is KT possible? could be I can't decide.. It seems like you would have heard more from nut flush draws. He only needs to pay off a low % of the time with Qx to make this good.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
QT is definitely part of his range as well. he shouldn't call a 3-bet but he probably would.
Q9 could also be part of his range, and he'd definitely call. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
QT is definitely part of his range as well. [/ QUOTE ] do you like a river raise from that hand?? not sure how I feel about it. [ QUOTE ] Q9 could also be part of his range, and he'd definitely call. [/ QUOTE ] word |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
I think if AQ is possible, then KT is possible; for both of these the turn call seems a little loose for a TAG, although he could put Hero on a draw given the nature of the board.
Why do you say he needs to pay off with a Q a low % of the time? If we ballpark that we're ahead 60% the time here (this is a rough estimate, do you think it's close?), EV of the extra bet going in =40*(-1)+60*x*1, where x is his payoff frequency. This gives us x=67% of the time he'd need to payoff. |
![]() |
|
|