I folded TPTK for more one bet in a big pot on the river

[beachbum]

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if you check/call you'll usually only be putting in a bet when you're beaten

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I'm not so sure about that. Since villain is only "moderately" aggro rather than very aggro, this is probably true. It's also very likely if the river goes "check, bet, call, call", hero will be inducing a bluff from CO and having the button call along with a worse hand.


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but if you bet you'll get called by worse hands

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I guess the real question to ask is how likely is CO to bluffraise this scare river? Given this situation, is he likely to be doing it more often than 1 in 14 times? I guess button could have me beaten too, since he most likely won't 3-bet 2 pair or even the idiot end of the straight. I don't know, now you're getting tremendous odds in a pot where I honestly think hero might be good more often than this. Some LAG's tend to get tricky in spots like this, especially when the pot gets big.

Unless I have a perfect read on the CO, I like c/c'ing. Against someone a bit more passive postflop, b/f is fine. Just MHO.