Value bet this river?

[Isura]

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I'd value bet this much more often if my bet didn't commit me to calling a checkraise since you'll have so little left in a huge pot.

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That's a good point. It seems that we're risking all of villain's stack when behind, but we only get that first bet when ahead (since he doesn't check/raise with a worst hand).

I dont see what betting does here. What will he call you with that you have beat? Only thing I can think of is a small-mid pocket pair. None of the draws got there either. If he's an awful player he might look you up with an A4 or A3.

Not to mention any bet commits you to calling a check-raise.

I think you're ahead most of the time here, but shouldn't be because you won't get called by a worse hand. If he really hit a ten and leads the turn, why wouldn't he bet the river? I think if villian is CR happy, then he would hit it on turn and then push river. In reality, I feel 99 is the most likely hand and he doesn't think you have a ten at the beginning of the turn (or he was just making a stab at the pot since you're most likely to have overcards rather than an overpair).

Anyone disagree?

[Mercman572]

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I dont see what betting does here. What will he call you with that you have beat? Only thing I can think of is a small-mid pocket pair. None of the draws got there either. If he's an awful player he might look you up with an A4 or A3.

Not to mention any bet commits you to calling a check-raise.

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you could just quote me next time [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]