#1
|
|||
|
|||
$33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
UTG+2 (t15452) MP1 (t32332) MP2 (t12325) MP3 (t13139) CO (t38881) Button (t25061) SB (t20000) Hero (t17199) UTG (t5916) UTG+1 (t32302) Preflop: Hero is BB with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. 1 fold, UTG+1 calls t800, 2 folds, MP2 calls t800, MP3 calls t800, 1 fold, Button calls t800, SB completes, Hero checks. Flop: (t4800) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 players)</font> SB checks. Hero checks. UTG+1 is all-In [31502] MP2 folds. MP3 folds. Button folds. SB folds. Hero is all-In [16399] Thoughts? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
I fold this, 2nd pair with flush draw is too risky at this point in the game.. At least for me.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
Looks standard to me.
You are usually about 50% or better to win this hand unless he has QQ. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
Could have:
-AA, KK: limp/reraise plan didn't work and he's making up for it trying to catch someone who hit the Q. -AQ: maybe one club, probably not, but trying to protect TPTK -AcJc: you're ahead, but he has 13 outs on you making you a very slight favorite The only thing you are ahead of is the draw, and it's a very slight edge. If you are behind you might have 13 outs yourself, making you a slight dog. Your getting about 5:4 on your money (I think, it's late) so it's a borderline pot odds call, too. You have 20 BB, and barring any previously seen semi-bluff push attempts on his part, I think you fold and wait for a better spot. It's an interesting hand, but with 20BB and a gross overbet of the pot which to me reads as defending a made hand, think you are in trouble, and should fold. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
I'm also thinkin you're about 50% maybe a little higher to win this pot...but basically im guessing it's a coinflip situation...so i mean if u want to take that chance at this point then do it...but i dunno...i'd probably try to find a place where i thought i had a better shot than a coinflip for all my chips this early
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
There are 70/1000 entrants left, so it really isn't "early". Since when does someone all-in overbet w/ a pair of queens or better here? I felt that he was on a draw, or at most, he had one pair. KJ, 89, 9J, two clubs were all possible combos. If he any draw, then I was ahead, since I had the 10c (except for 9cJc, KcJc, and AcJc). I'm not going to crunch out the numbers, but I figured I was pushing better than a 55/45 edge here to become chip leader in this tourney, in which case, I would probably final table.
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw
i would probably throw up and call. it's hard to know what the hell he has, but as long as it's not a bizarrely played set, you're going to be in fine/great shape.
|
|
|