Did I chicken out with my flush draw on the turn?

[istewart]

If raising the flop is a mistake it's still clearly +EV, and I'm not even sure it's a mistake. You're a favorite HU against his range right now (you're even a solid favorite if he has AA/KK and still have 40% equity if he has queens) and on this flop you're nearly ALWAYS going to get at least one cold-caller.

[Greg J]

[ QUOTE ]
If raising the flop is a mistake it's still clearly +EV, and I'm not even sure it's a mistake. You're a favorite HU against his range right now (you're even a solid favorite if he has AA/KK and still have 40% equity if he has queens) and on this flop you're nearly ALWAYS going to get at least one cold-caller.

[/ QUOTE ]
I just pokerstoved it, and here are the assumptions and results:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

740,460 games 0.750 secs 987,280 games/sec

Board: Qc 8c Jh
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 55.7155 % [ 00.56 00.00 ] { QsQh }
Hand 2: 37.8376 % [ 00.34 00.04 ] { AcTc }
Hand 3: 04.0630 % [ 00.00 00.04 ] { JdTd }
Hand 4: 02.3839 % [ 00.02 00.00 ] { random }

I still think the call is better. That being said, if one of the other two clowns gets a wild hair up his ass and checkraise 3 bets, a cap is good. It might sounds strange, but I think you understand how I could not like the raise on this flop but at the same time love the cap.

[sean c]

[ QUOTE ]
If raising the flop is a mistake it's still clearly +EV, and I'm not even sure it's a mistake. You're a favorite HU against his range right now (you're even a solid favorite if he has AA/KK and still have 40% equity if he has queens) and on this flop you're nearly ALWAYS going to get at least one cold-caller.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree i don't dislike the flop raise at all. FWIW i have his flop equity at 45%. If we get just one cold caller on a board that has likely hit some people we give up alot of value by not jamming the flop. What hands are calling one here that aren't calling two?