#51
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Re: My Bustout Hand--Oh The Humanity!!
I have two responses to your post [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img].
1) The explanation of the hand makes no sense, how'd you bust when you had two black kings with trips on the turn? Obviously some detail is wrong here 2) WIth pocket kings and a flop like that, 12900 is 12900/45000=28.6% of your total stack, figure his raise of 6000 on the flop, so the pot is actually equavalent to(12900+6000)/45000=42% your total stack, this is easily a must win pot, as it represents nearly half your total stack in the tourney, that alone would warrant an all in,but lets continue to analyze. Your read places him on the following hands: AT (4 aces * 3 Ten=12 combinations)* .75% (Your odds against that hand)= 9 KT(2*3=6)*.88=5.28 AA(3+2+1=6)*.1=.6 QQ(6)=.9=5.4 JJ(6)*.9=5.4 TT(2+1=3)*.15=.45 99 (3)*.15=.45 66 (3)*.15=.45 Totals> Combinations = 45, Equity= ~27: 27/45= 60% equity Unless I screwed up the calculations above, against all the hands you mentioned, you have a 60% chance to win. Therefore, I think going all in was the right play here. Note: The above analysis is your equity if he were to call you with all the hands mentioned above. Any comments of this analysis? |
#52
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Re: My Bustout Hand--Oh The Humanity!!
[ QUOTE ]
I DID have one nice exchange with Simon where he thought that "I Love You Just The Way You Are" was a Barry white song, and my correcting him that most folks don't confuse Barry White with Billy Joel, and that there wasn't "very much soul at this table," [/ QUOTE ] Billy Joel did write the song, but Barry White also did a version of it. |
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