#6
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Re: 10/20: 77 turns set in unraised multi-way pot
Since you say he is TAG, his 3-betting range is pretty narrow on the turn: Specifically, he probably needs Aces up or better.
AA/KK/33: These would coincide with the PF action (33 would depend on the table). Is he really not leading the flop with a set on an A high board, though? AK: Seems possible. A7, A3: Not if he's really TAG. Ax: Seems possible... but the 3-bet on the turn makes these very unlikely. A bluff: Given the action, I think this would be a decent spot to try one, on the turn, but he probably gives up on river. His river bet sure looks a lot like a value bet. If you push the river, the only hand he calls you with that you're ahead of is probably AK, and he may fold that. If you think there's a chance that he gets to this point with worse than AK (a weird AQ?) , then you can push and make him think you're trying to move him off a chop, but this looks like a call, to me. |
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