![]() |
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
UTG ($47.23) UTG+1 ($70.30) UTG+2 ($46.50) MP1 ($70.60) MP2 ($136.05) MP3 ($53.20) CO ($11.57) Button ($79.60) SB ($82.20) Hero ($50) I had about 10 hands on my opponent and he appeared to be loose. Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25. [color=#666666]3 folds</font>, MP1 calls $0.50, [color=#666666]3 folds</font>, Button calls $0.50, [color=#666666]1 fold</font>, [color=#CC3333]Hero raises to $2</font>, MP1 calls $2, Button calls $2. Flop: ($7.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] [color=#0000FF](3 players)</font> [color=#CC3333]Hero bets $7</font>, [color=#CC3333]MP1 raises to $15</font>, Button folds, Hero calls $8. I'm getting 3.75 to 1 on this call, anyone do anything different here? Turn: ($37.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font> Hero...? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Possible hand range for a loose player here: AT, KT, QT, JT, AJ, QJ KJ, Mid PP.
A loose player is going to bet a paired jack pretty aggressively here. I think he'd smooth call if he had a Ten. I think you may want to lead the turn, re-evaluate the river. |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Push the turn, you have less than the pot left and if you think he has a T you should have folded to the flop raise. If your opponent is 'loose' then this is a clasic raise the draw situation.
A 3-bet push on the flop might have been a more optimal line. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
Push the turn, you have less than the pot left and if you think he has a T you should have folded to the flop raise. [/ QUOTE ] I definitely think T is a possible holding in his range of hands, but with my good pot odds and the other hands in his range I can beat I have to call. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
We only have ten hands on him so I don't really know what his tendencies are post flop with TP or trips. My stack is less than the pot, so if I lead the turn my only option is to go all-in. If I was to bet $15 or so and he raises me I don't see how I could fold or could I?
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Just because your getting good odds on the flop doesnt mean he's giving you those same odds on the turn. You have to assume he's pushing the turn with a jack or a ten. By calling the flop raise you should be ready to commit the rest of your stack to this hand or you shouldn't have called it.
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
How sure would you have to be that he has a third ten on the flop to lay the hand down?
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
How sure would you have to be that he has a third ten on the flop to lay the hand down? [/ QUOTE ] I guess I could do the math on it and tell you exactly what % of the time you need to be right to make this +EV....but no one is making those calculations in game. What I'd think about in tempo is what hands are in his range and what would he play this way? I think most players would incorrectly smooth call a 10 with position here. That's just my instinct for these small stake games. If he's a good player, he wants to price you out of this draw heavy board. He didn't raise enough to price you out. I also think he'd make this raise with any Jack or semi-bluff with a flush draw. My gut instinct says he doesn't have the 10 here very often. So I'd push. |
![]() |
|
|