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#2
11-19-2005, 04:14 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] This is easy money. [/ QUOTE ] There is no easy money in the NFL. [/ QUOTE ] Every once in a while a great opportunity pops up. You get maybe 4 or 5 of these a season. This is one of them. 
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#3
11-19-2005, 08:10 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is easy money. [/ QUOTE ] There is no easy money in the NFL. [/ QUOTE ] Every once in a while a great opportunity pops up. You get maybe 4 or 5 of these a season. This is one of them. [/ QUOTE ] Hard to believe that laying 13 is one of the best opportunities of the season, but good luck. I generally like very few lines. My three favorite lines of the season are ALL this week. But this isn't one of them.
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#4
11-19-2005, 09:05 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
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I generally like very few lines. My three favorite lines of the season are ALL this week. [/ QUOTE ] Hmm, I hate this week's games. Don't think I've seen a line all season that I liked as much as Jacksonville vs. Cincinnati way back in like week 5. Maybe NE vs. Buffalo, which was a flop.
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#5
11-19-2005, 09:35 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is easy money. [/ QUOTE ] There is no easy money in the NFL. [/ QUOTE ] Every once in a while a great opportunity pops up. You get maybe 4 or 5 of these a season. This is one of them. [/ QUOTE ] Hard to believe that laying 13 is one of the best opportunities of the season, but good luck. I generally like very few lines. My three favorite lines of the season are ALL this week. But this isn't one of them. [/ QUOTE ] What have you got?
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#6
11-21-2005, 12:51 AM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is easy money. [/ QUOTE ] There is no easy money in the NFL. [/ QUOTE ] Every once in a while a great opportunity pops up. You get maybe 4 or 5 of these a season. This is one of them. [/ QUOTE ] Hard to believe that laying 13 is one of the best opportunities of the season, but good luck. I generally like very few lines. My three favorite lines of the season are ALL this week. But this isn't one of them. [/ QUOTE ] What have you got? [/ QUOTE ] Well, I realized that I cheated because I was counting Giants -4 for the 3+1 contest. The other two lines I loved were Jacksonville -4 (lost) and Chicago +3 (won). Fezzik had Chicago as his game of the year (4 weight) and commented, "This game is the poster child IMO separating losing NFL bettors and winning bettors...The line is, IMO, a nobrainer 'pick'. At 2.5 the Bears looked to have value, at +3 it's time to push a huge stack of chips into the pot." Congrats on your win on Denver.
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#7
11-19-2005, 08:13 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is easy money. [/ QUOTE ] There is no easy money in the NFL. [/ QUOTE ] Every once in a while a great opportunity pops up. You get maybe 4 or 5 of these a season. This is one of them. [/ QUOTE ] LOL!
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#8
11-19-2005, 10:38 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is easy money. [/ QUOTE ] There is no easy money in the NFL. [/ QUOTE ] Every once in a while a great opportunity pops up. You get maybe 4 or 5 of these a season. This is one of them. [/ QUOTE ] Okay, so what is the "true" line of this game? Realize that, in the NFL, there have been fewer than 20 games the past 13 years that had lines of -17 or worse for the favorites. And these games are all huge, huge mismatches. Powerhouse teams at home against pathetic teams on the road. Even if you think that a "fair" price is -16, which seems highly unlikely, DEN would only cover 13 about 60% of the time. They are certainly not "true" 20 point favorites, which is about the point where this would be called "easy money".
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#10
11-20-2005, 02:53 PM
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Re: BRONCOS -13 OVER jets
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I think Denver will win this game by exactly 14 often enough to mean that 13 is a good line. I wouldn't be at all keen on the line at 14. Lori [/ QUOTE ] If you really think 14 is such a likely result, there is a profitable soft middle available on that number right now: Mansion - Broncos -13.5 -104 Sports Interaction - Jets +14 EV Risk $2 to win $100 (should come through about 6%).
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