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#1
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I agonize over this for a while and fold. You can't call, that's way too much of your stack to call UTG, someone is going to raise you. And going all-in UTG with ATo is not a good situation. I think your range on what would call you mostly makes sense (I'd probably say 88+, AJ/AQ/AK), though you didn't give stack sizes for the rest of the table. If there's a significant chip leader who could afford to lose 30k, you have to widen that range.
UTG in this situation without knowing stack sizes for the rest of the table, to push I think I need AQ/AK, 77+. Maybe AJ or KQ. So it's a fold for me, but not by much. |
#2
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UTG in this situation without knowing stack sizes for the rest of the table, to push I think I need AQ/AK, 77+. Maybe AJ or KQ. So it's a fold for me, but not by much. [/ QUOTE ] What are your chances of getting one of these hands within the next orbit? I realize you may expand your range a bit if it's folded to you in late position, but if Hero waits even until he's the button, his stack's down from 30k to 19.8k, reducing his fold equity and reducing his resulting stack if he's called and wins. ATo is a gift in this spot. Get the money in. You're not going to make the final table by waiting until you're at 2BB to push AK. |
#3
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I've been burned by ATo so many times that I hate to have to push it UTG.
And I don't think you need one of the hands I listed in that range during the next orbit to push. That was my range for a UTG push. I'd need a lot less to push in a better preflop position. I'm folding because I think I'm going to get a hand that is pushable at least based on position (rather than hand strength) if I wait. I'd rather wait and risk losing some FE and stack size to get a hand where I have better preflop position and have a better chance to buy blinds with less action behind me. But like I said, it's a really close fold for me. AJ I'd very likely push. I'd say AT is exactly on my personal borderline for fold/push for this situation. Seems like most everyone else sees this as an easy push, so maybe this is a leak for me, but I don't really consider ATo a "gift" in this situation. Pushing UTG with a 1/3 average stack, you're very likely going to get called and the bad side of a coinflip is probably the best you're going to get out of it. If you wait until you have better position, you might have lost of a big portion of your stack, but at least you still have chips in front of you. |
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