Bad all in vs Maniac? Or was this play +EV?

[PunterSThompson]

The problem with this if it's a steal is that it's almost always +EV for him to call (he only needs to be about 29% or better). You'd only figure him to fold 50% if you knew he was horrible.

That said, your stack is 5850 with 1300 a round cost (it looks like 50 a person antes?), so you're going to need to make a move real soon. If you think he might raise with many hands as you suggest, this isnt an awful time to push it in and hope. Without doing all the math my gut tells me its a somewhat close decision either way.

Harrington 2 has a similar example where you have A2o in the bb vs a button steal raiser. He calls it a narrow fold, but KTs is a far better hand, and your opponent is a maniac.

Regardless, you're going to have to start slamming it in soon anyway.

Punter