when it would be painfully obvious you have the nuts...

[creedofhubris]

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can someone throw out some likely hand ranges for button here please? this is sort of the point i'm trying to get at.

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No one who's any good checks this flop with a made hand. That turn bet by the initial raiser is also superweak, so it could be any 2 here, but let's assume the J helps, so:

jacks up, QJ, JJJ, straight, any two, in about that order?