A stupid question

mr magoo · #1 11-04-2005, 06:49 AM

How should I play this hand? villian had 17%/8%/ but i had only 25 hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em (NL$0) (10 handed) link

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
Hero raises, 5 folds, Button calls $254.50, 1 folds, BB 3-bet, Hero caps, Button calls $254.50, BB calls $254.50.

Flop: ($1527.00) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets , Button folds, BB calls $254.50.

Turn: ($2036.00) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets , BB checkraises , Hero ?
easy call down? or raise more? or does he have AA,KK ?

hobbsmann · #2 11-04-2005, 06:54 AM

try the NL forum.

mr magoo · #3 11-04-2005, 08:19 AM

oh [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img], it was not a NL hand. This was 5/10 fixed.

Nick Royale · #4 11-04-2005, 08:55 AM

If he's equally likely to play AA-QQ this way then:

AA (3 combos): 2 outs
KK (6 combos): 5 outs
QQ (1 combo): 0 outs

Average. (3*2 + 6*5 + 1*0) / (3 + 6 + 1) = 3.6 outs

You need ~3.8 to call the turn just to draw.
The risk of being up against a hand like AQ/KQ combined with the risk of facing a raise for a free sd by a hand like JJ makes me call this down. Crying.

ErrantNight · #5 11-04-2005, 11:06 AM

post NL hands in the NL forum. i'm sure i'm the 4th person to tell you this.

ErrantNight · #6 11-04-2005, 11:07 AM

don't cap preflop

krimson · #7 11-04-2005, 11:15 AM

I would just call the 3-bet pre-flop. Then villian will likely lead the flop, you can raise this to protect your hand. Then continue to bet until you face resistance and call down from there.

Given how it was played, I would just call down the turn/river. I'm not convinced enough that i'm beat to fold.

JinX11 · #8 11-04-2005, 11:16 AM

The action is hosed.

Don't cap preflop.
Bet the flop.
Bet-call the turn.
Call the river.