How risky was this play?

#1 10-25-2005, 09:44 PM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP1 ($25)
Hero ($33.29)
MP3 ($13.10)
CO ($33.92)
Button ($13.92)
SB ($8.15)
BB ($24.35)
UTG ($21.20)
UTG+1 ($14.35)
UTG+2 ($22)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
2 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.25, MP1 raises to $1, Hero calls $1, 4 folds, BB calls $0.75, UTG+2 calls $0.75.

Flop: ($4.10) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, UTG+2 checks, MP1 bets $3, Hero raises to $10, BB folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $7.

Turn: ($24.10) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero calls $22.29 (All-In), MP1 calls $14 (All-In).

River: ($60.39) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: $60.39

RED FACE · #2 10-25-2005, 09:59 PM

The flop raise looks good but his call looks very bad for you. You have position. Could you get away from this hand if an A or K hits and he pushes the river? If so, then maybe check behind on the turn. If an A or K hit and he has TT-QQ he may check into you on river too. If he has a pp and no oc hits then he w likely push river. Maybe he has 88. Tough hand. Risk level: moderate.

#3 10-25-2005, 10:01 PM

I think it's very risky. Even if you're certain your opponent's MP1 preflop raising range with a limper in front is 66+, then you're beating 66/77/88 and losing to TT/QQ/KK/AA/quads. Most people won't raise with this wide a range here, and even if they do there are more winning hands your opponent can hold than losing ones.

mayesie · #4 10-25-2005, 10:18 PM

I think you're probably beaten by a higher pocket-pair. What hands would the villain

1) Raise with pf

and

2) Call your flop re-raise with?

Probably Tens, Queens, Kings, or Aces (though anything is possible w/ some players)

#5 10-25-2005, 11:01 PM

raising him on the flop basically tells him u dont have the J, therefore I think he would have pushed in with 10,10 or higher....he might have AK and put you on a bluff, depends on how your opponent has been playing. Its risky but not that stupid just a little [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

hockeyf · #6 10-26-2005, 01:20 AM

Seen worse [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]