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#11
10-21-2005, 11:43 AM
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Re: Raising for a free card with overcards
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[ QUOTE ] you're up against AA-JJ almost every time and have 4 outs. [/ QUOTE ] Nearly half the time it's AK unless you are thinking he won't cap with AKo. [/ QUOTE ] maybe. but i'm just looking at how tight villain is that's all, so it isn't that i think he won't cap, i just don't think he's betting this turn again with UI overcards. 
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#12
10-21-2005, 11:46 AM
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Re: Raising for a free card with overcards
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[ QUOTE ] that turn call is very suspect. you're up against AA-JJ almost every time and have 4 outs. [/ QUOTE ] But we surely have at least one TP out. And we still might be tied for first place right now. [/ QUOTE ] basically we're hoping he has EXACTLY KK is what you're saying. and no (i said this in the above posting which i doubt you've read but...) i don't think a villain of these stats is betting this turn again with UI OCs.
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#13
10-21-2005, 11:56 AM
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Re: Raising for a free card with overcards
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] that turn call is very suspect. you're up against AA-JJ almost every time and have 4 outs. [/ QUOTE ] But we surely have at least one TP out. And we still might be tied for first place right now. [/ QUOTE ] basically we're hoping he has EXACTLY KK is what you're saying. and no (i said this in the above posting which i doubt you've read but...) i don't think a villain of these stats is betting this turn again with UI OCs. [/ QUOTE ] His VPIP/PFR/AF is about the same as mine, and I fire the second barrel here pretty often. Especially against a tight player like Hero. We have 3 outs versus KK, 3 versus AQs, and a metric crapload against TT. Although they're unlikely, IMO the slim odds of having these outs, the good chance that we're tied, and the fact that we can almost call based on our gutshot alone makes this a call for me.
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