A Question About Marginal Hands

[DeeJ]

Over my last 5000 hands I've had AA just 17 times (average 22) and deuces 28 times (average 22). Of those AA I've won just 10 times, avg reward +1.11 BB/100 but it should be up nearer 3 BB/100. So just on AA alone, my expectation would be (and there isn't a great deal of skill to playing AA) a lot greater than where I am over the last 5000 hands.

eg
AA win 10/17 @ 1.1 = +11BB
AA win 17/22 @ 2.77 = +47BB

This hits my profit line....

Add to that the 25 times I've played 22/33/44 and not hit trips once, and I'm accounting for about 20 BB shortfall right there. So I can adduce some 56 BB of losses to simply running bad. Any more [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] is down to me behaving like a plankton.