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#1
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Re: A hand from 5/10 NL 6 handed
It's clear to move all in.
I run some simulations with possible hands that might call the all in and found out that the only time you are a big underdog is when both opponents call and one of them has a better hand than yours on the flop (like AQ or a high pocket pair) and the other has a better flush & straight draw like A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] or A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] or K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. In all other scenarios you are either in a coin flip situation when you get only one caller or the clear favorite if both opponents call without a better flush draw. Obviously the best case scenario is when both of them fold. My simulation showed that moving all in has a +$200 EV. |
#2
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Re: A hand from 5/10 NL 6 handed
how are you coinflip with a set?
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#3
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Re: A hand from 5/10 NL 6 handed
[ QUOTE ]
how are you coinflip with a set? [/ QUOTE ] you are not, but against the range of hands that might call you you are either a small favourite or a small underdog, hence my definition of a coin flip. also a set is not that likely when you are holding a ten, since the button is not likely to have 66 and BB is not likely to have QQ... |
#4
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Re: A hand from 5/10 NL 6 handed
I did some calculations and came with EV of about +$50. I'll have to relook the calculations. Maybe too conservative in assumptions (or maybe a goof).
It seems clear to me that moving all-in is +EV. The question is if it's better than calling. If it really is around +$250 EV, I don't see how calling could possibly beat that. OTOH if it's more like +$50, calling might be better. |
#5
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Re: A hand from 5/10 NL 6 handed
I found my mistake. I come up with around +$250 as well for moving all-in.
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