Three hands from the 45K guarantee on Stars

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Hand #2 is awful. You're not getting proper pot odds to call as a 3:2 dog, which I think is a pretty good assessment of the situation. Factor in EV (not just cEV), and this is a really bad call.

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I forgot to mention that the blinds go up in one minute with that hand.

I don't disagree that the call is -CEV for a second. Do you really think I'll be able to find ANY +CEV situations with that stack, though? Unless I wake up with a big pair in the next 8 hands, I don't see how I'm getting a better spot.

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Blinds going up here doesn't matter to me too much. The shorter your stack is, the easier it is to find +cEV situations preflop.

This call is not borderline enough for you to bring these metagame aspects in.