Liveblogging a HU match.

[timprov]

I would almost certainly fold 98x to a bet, FWIW.

I think most of the time when you have a two-card draw and the opponent draws three, it's not good to autobet, especially if you have position. In fact I think Mark bets here substantially too often, and it's part of why I felt comfortable defending with some pretty crappy three-card draws.

The vast majority of situations I've identified where betting a card ahead is bad are when you've drawn 2, villain has drawn 3, and you either improve by one card or don't improve at all.