#1
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Fire last round on river bluff?
On river I can see several higher card hands that I fold...what do you think?
Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is BB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, Hero calls. Flop: (4 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls. Turn: (4 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls. River: (6 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB folds. Final Pot: 7 BB |
#2
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
Curious, why raise the flop on this board if you aren't taking a free card? Seems to me you'll make more when you hit and you don't have too much fold equity on this board to make up for it.
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#3
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
[ QUOTE ]
Curious, why raise the flop on this board if you aren't taking a free card? Seems to me you'll make more when you hit and you don't have too much fold equity on this board to make up for it. [/ QUOTE ] |
#4
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
you don't think there's a chance he could just have a 9 and decide on the turn that he is probably beat?
(this is a semi-serious question: I am definitely over-aggressive with my continuation bets in heads-up battles where I'm mostly making up fold-equity that isn't really there) |
#5
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
[ QUOTE ]
Curious, why raise the flop on this board if you aren't taking a free card? Seems to me you'll make more when you hit and you don't have too much fold equity on this board to make up for it. [/ QUOTE ] Of course I'll make more when I hit. But I like getting a feel for where I'm at on the flop. I think the way this opponent played the pot rules out a J, and TP isn't very likely. When he didn't raise the turn, I ruled out TP and thought he had an ace, so I fired one more shot. Not sure if this is +EV on average though. |
#6
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
It's definitely possible, but he PFRed and the board is KJ9. A ton more hands hit the K or J than hit the 9, and he does a lot to ruin his implied odds later on if he hits.
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#7
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
Microbob,
Did you get my PM the other day? Yeah he could have a 9 or a smaller pp. But for 1 bet on the river I could push out A high, so iw ould think it's good, and A high is more likely than a 9. |
#8
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
[ QUOTE ]
It's definitely possible, but he PFRed and the board is KJ9. A ton more hands hit the K or J than hit the 9, and he does a lot to ruin his implied odds later on if he hits. [/ QUOTE ] I'm not worried about implied odds in a HU pot [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. I'm worried about maximizing equity, meaning I want to win a higher % of the time before the river since 10 high is no good. My hand is also deceitful so if I make it, I still get paid if he has a piece. M |
#9
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
"Did you get my PM the other day?"
Nope (just double-checked) |
#10
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Re: Fire last round on river bluff?
Okay, just checking...I may have typoed.
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