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  #1  
Old 09-21-2005, 10:35 AM
catlover catlover is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 125
Default Re: Is there anybody going to listen to my story

Seems like opponent's most likely hands are 44-55. There are 3 ways he could have 44 and 1 way he could have 55. But he might have slowed down at some point with 44. So let's say at this point he is 50% 44, 30% 55, and 20% something else. "Something else" might be a very aggressively played A5s or JJ for instance.

I think it's a raise, but I think it's very close. If you take my numbers, you are going to lose 1 bets 70% of the time, and win 1-2 bets 30% of the time. But winning 2 bets with a reraise is a realistic possibility, versus A5s for instace.

Because of the chance of winning 2 bets, I think it's a reraise. But it's close.
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  #2  
Old 09-21-2005, 04:09 PM
Dantes Dantes is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: west coast
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Default Re: Is there anybody going to listen to my story

FFS his hand is basically ruined on the river if he has 44. Why would he raise the river with 44 unless he's an idiot? Call.
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