College football ML play (8-7 sides, 4-2 ML, +4.2 units overall)

[primetimenole]

I've had pretty good luck with moneylines so far this year - ND over Pitt, FSU over UM (even though I told myself not to bet it because FSU is my team I did anyways), Texas over OSU, LSU over ASU - losers were Wake over NEB and BSU over Oregon State (they had a 10 point lead and blew it).

That being said, I like OU + 228 at UCLA this week. Getting 2.3 to 1 is too good to pass up on OU. I know they have looked terrible but basically the casinos are saying they only have about a 30% chance to win the game. I think it's more like 50/50, making it a profitable bet. Yes, their QB is horrible, but they can still run the ball and UCLA can't stop it (Rice ran for 195 last week on them). And OU's defense can still play - they haven't given up many points, which is saying something considering the bad position that thier offense has put them in.

Tell me what you think......