|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
I wasn't even thinking set because he didn't raise preflop. Okay. He may not raise with A/10 but SURELY he would raise with a PP?
|
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
33 or TT? Probably not with those stats.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
You said I was getting 10:1 odds on the turn and had to call other bet. That's essentially 5:1. Are you 80% certain you are beat here given the action?
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
You're actually getting 5.5:1 effective odds to call down. Even if you're not drawing dead on the turn, you don't have your full 5 outs.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
I was jsut rounding the 5:1 but do you think I definently NEED the outs?
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
care to tell me what he had?
|
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
[ QUOTE ]
You're actually getting 5.5:1 effective odds to call down. Even if you're not drawing dead on the turn, you don't have your full 5 outs. [/ QUOTE ] But shouldn't we take into account the possibility he has two pair, in which case we have 8 outs to beat/counterfeit him? I don't think we can be so certain he has the set. |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: To aggressive with A/K
You think the villain has T3? If we're lucky he has A3, and if we're unlucky he has AT. Against AT we only have 3 outs. let's calculate your weighted average of outs (against TT and 33 we're drawing dead):
[(6x9)+(6x3)+(3x0)+(3x0)]/(6+6+3+3)= approximately 4 outs. We'd really have to throw in a raise when we spike a K, a T or an 8 to make this draw profitable, but then we're getting 3-bet those times that we're behind on the river. So even if we 'improve,' we make one extra when ahead, and we lose 2 extra on the river when behind. We can lay down TPTK against passive opponents where appropriate. This is one of those times. |
|
|