#1
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Marginal Turn Decision: 5:1 with a weak draw
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $0.50 BB (9 handed) converter
saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> BB ($16.90) UTG ($25.75) UTG+1 ($63.15) <font color="#C00000">MP1 ($11.10)</font> MP2 ($41.45) <font color="#C00000">MP3 ($16.05)</font> CO ($44) <font color="#C00000">Hero ($409.25)</font> <font color="#C00000">SB ($105.55)</font> Preflop: Hero is Button with 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP3 calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.75</font>, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2.25, MP1 calls $2.25, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to $16.05</font>, Hero calls $13.30, SB calls $13.30, BB folds, MP1 calls $8.35 (All-In). Flop: ($62) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players, 1 all-in)</font> SB checks, Hero checks. Turn: ($62) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players, 1 all-in)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets $15</font>, Hero ?.</font> SB is a calling station, doesn't seem to understand the game. (He bets with hands like TJQK on 444T5 boards, and he's not bluffing). MP3 is a habitual shot taker. What's your turn action? |
#2
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Re: Marginal Turn Decision: 5:1 with a weak draw
I post the following in hope that someone will explain what's wrong with it:
You're 40/60 against a random hand, which means you're almost certainly a dog on the side pot. You have almost no shot at the main pot unless a club, 5h or 4 comes, and the club will be no good at least 60% of the time. You probably have less than 20% equity in the main pot, but you have at least 10% thanks to the 4 nut outs that may come on the river. Given the fact that you're probably a dog against SB and he'll call anything there's little incentive to raise. I would call and see the river. If a 4 or 5h comes I'll try to get him all-in. If a club or 5d comes and he checks I'll put in a $30 bet. If he bets a club/5d I'll smooth call. Does he bluff at rivers here? If not, I fold to any sizable bet when i miss the river. If you miss you have next to zero chance at the main pot and maybe 1/6 at best of winning the side pot, so I'd be inclined to fold to even a $10 bet. |
#3
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Re: Marginal Turn Decision: 5:1 with a weak draw
He doesn't bluff, he occasionally bets weak hands believing they are still good and he has shown a propensity to call largish bets on the river with weak two pair hands and top pair good kicker. He is essentially a HE player. He is very unlikely to be bluffing here and will call any raise. Raising is out of the question.
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#4
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Re: Marginal Turn Decision: 5:1 with a weak draw
He also doesn't bet draws.
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#5
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Re: Marginal Turn Decision: 5:1 with a weak draw
Not that anyone cares, but the river was a brick and the calling station took it down with 83. My clubs were dead, but the CS would likely call a value bet here, so I think calling is a break even play. Raising was never an option.
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