Play Along...... street by street - The FLOP

[djshawk]

With the flush draw out there if MP hit his set he is going to lead out. As will any 2-pair/top pair hand. I think its safe to assume you are ahead.

After his check MPs range of hands can be shortened quite a bit. Any K is betting out, and hands like QJs, QTs would probably fold or raise pre-flop. So I would say likely hands are PP < 9 (but not hit set) or AJ-A8.

Having given him that range I think a bet of ~250 is pretty safe, and I would expect to take the pot down right there.