OESFD push vs flop min-raise

rikz · #1 09-05-2005, 11:07 PM

Villain 1: LAG 36% VPIP/12% PFR/2.0 TAF after 100+ hands
Villain 2 (short stack): LAP 38% VPIP/10% PFR/0.7 TAF after 60+ hands
Hero: At this table, Hero was 12% VPIP/7% PFR/3.3 TAF over 180 hands (this hand was probably about half way through the session)

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) converter

MP2 ($32.04)
MP3 ($88.83)
CO Villain 2 ($7.66)
Button ($49.25)
Hero ($52.05)
BB ($59)
UTG ($39.50)
UTG+1 ($45.50)
UTG+2 Villain 1 ($45.10)
MP1 ($46.48)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG raises to $2, 1 fold, UTG+2 Villain 1 calls $2, 3 folds, CO Villain 2 calls $2, 1 fold, Hero (poster) calls $1.75, 1 fold.

Flop: ($8.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero bets $7, UTG folds, Villain 1 raises to $14, Villain 2 calls $5.66 (All-In), Hero raises to $45, Villain 1 has 2.51:1 pot odds to call all-in here ...

Is Hero's line OK, or would another line have been better considering Hero's position, Villain's stats (no other reads), stack sizes, and action up to this point where Hero goes all in. Anybody just fold to this small raise from UTG+1 with a hand that plays badly out of position like JTs? Preflop, UTG+1 was 17% VPIP / 6% PFR.

Hero's main objective with the big reraise to Villain 1's min-raise was to try and fold out Villain 1 if he only had a higher flush draw. Vs TPTK, Hero was a favoite as long as there are 2 cards remaining, so he might as well get it all in here. Vs a set or 2-pair, Hero would still have outs, including 2 killer outs to a straight flush.

Thanks.

Points to note on possible holdings.

vs 99 or 77 (Set, using 99 for this example)
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9d 9h 573 57.88 417 42.12 0 0.00 0.579
Js Ts 417 42.12 573 57.88 0 0.00 0.421

vs As 7s (Nut flush draw with pair)
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As 7s 555 56.06 435 43.94 0 0.00 0.561
Js Ts 435 43.94 555 56.06 0 0.00 0.439

vs As Qh (TPTK)
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Qh 469 47.37 521 52.63 0 0.00 0.474
Js Ts 521 52.63 469 47.37 0 0.00 0.526

vs 9c 7c (two pair)
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9c 7c 480 48.48 510 51.52 0 0.00 0.485
Js Ts 510 51.52 480 48.48 0 0.00 0.515

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3-way vs TPTK and two pair
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As Qh 148 16.39 755 83.61 0 0.00 0.164
9c 7c 326 36.10 577 63.90 0 0.00 0.361
Js Ts 429 47.51 474 52.49 0 0.00 0.475

3-way vs TPTK and set
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9d 9h 506 56.04 397 43.96 0 0.00 0.560
As Qh 26 2.88 877 97.12 0 0.00 0.029
Js Ts 371 41.09 532 58.91 0 0.00 0.411

3-way vs set and two pair
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9d 9h 486 53.82 414 45.85 3 0.33 0.540
9c 7c 1 0.11 899 99.56 3 0.33 0.003
Js Ts 413 45.74 490 54.26 0 0.00 0.457

3-way vs set and nut flush draw & pair
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9d 9h 518 57.36 385 42.64 0 0.00 0.574
As 7s 149 16.50 754 83.50 0 0.00 0.165
Js Ts 236 26.14 667 73.86 0 0.00 0.261