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Open Ended Straight + Overcard on a Monochrome board. Stars 2/4NL
Background,
I'm new to NL so most of my analysis is probably wrong, please point it out. Thanks to you guys in two plus two I've been a winner in the .5/1 and 1/2 I've built my bankroll up and take a shot at 2/4 for the first time. I see %50 players to the flop and jump into the game. Unfortunately by this time the very loose players are all gone. I should probably not be here but I win for the first ten or so hands and then this hand comes up. My pokertracker data mine shows. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) converter UTG ($268.75) 20.29 VP$IP 5.07 PFR MP ($244.50) 17.37 VP$IP 3.52 PFR CO ($209) 32.77 9.52 Hero ($99) I had bought in for Min and built up my stack with super aggressive play in ten hands to $99. I think my table image is that of a lucky moron or a super maniac donkey. I've been winning little $8 and $19 pots because they fold to me. SB ($390) 25.40 5.06 BB ($421.25) 23.13 10.63 Preflop: Hero is Button with 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $4, CO calls $4, <font color="#CC3333"> I see the CO has a Went to Showdown of 17%... I figure the MP (17 VP$IP) can be bluffed and the CO could have junk so I raise the monochrome flop with straight draw + overcard. I dive into the CO's data that I have on pokertracker and I get a big scare! She's 42bb/100 on the NL($2) over the last 100 hands that I have on her today. Hero raises to $12</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP folds, CO calls $8. Crap the CO calls Flop: ($34) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> CO checks, <font color="#CC3333"> Humm she checks prehaps the club is scarry for her... Hero bets $16</font>, CO calls $16. Turn: ($66) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> CO checks, Hero checks. River: ($66) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $16</font>, Hero calls $16. Is this person just betting to hope to get me to drop for a split???? Final Pot: $98 Comments? |
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