Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-24-2005, 12:27 PM
VivaLaViking VivaLaViking is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 97
Default Consensus of raw data for outs of 3 cards to a straight after flop

A solution is defined as a unique combination that completes a straight, as opposed to permeations. To make sure that we are on the same wavelength; given down cards (3 5) there are only 3 solutions (A 2 4), (2 4 6) and (4 6 7). Straight flushes are not discounted.


Single solution probability:

(8 C 1)(4 C 1)
--------------- ~.0148
(47 C 1)(46 C 1)

2 out probability: 1 - (45/47)(44/46) ~.0842

.0148
----- * 2 ~ 1/3
.0842



So straight needing 2 cards after the flop could be counted as 1/3 out per solution. Some disagreement exists on the actual weight that could be assigned but my thoughts are that it should only be increased, or decreased, depending on the other circumstances of the game and players
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:39 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.