NL $100 against bad LAG

[wtfsvi]

This guy is 45/28/2 after 80 hands. Aggression factor 2 on all three streets. When I'm calling the flop I expect him to check the turn to me if he has nothing (and I expect him to have nothing). And I plan to bet half pot on the turn to push him off his overcards. PA tells me he's check raised twice in his 80 hands, for what that is worth.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

BB ($47.80)
UTG (villain)/ ($105.45)
MP ($16.25)
Hero ($114.35)
Button ($31.60)
SB ($94.05)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG (villain)/ raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $4, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>.

Flop: ($9.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">villain bets $5</font>, Hero calls $5.

Turn: ($19.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
villain checks, Hero...?

[orange]

1/3-1/2 pot is good I think.

Odds are you are value betting at this point. Someone do the math, but I come up with a bet of around 12.50 given the opponent's range of hands. BTW, way to hang in there for the turn 3, great call!

[ScottTheFish]

He probably has nothing. Someone this aggressive I'd be tempted to check and hope to induce a bluff on the river.

But with that board I probably fire 1/2 of the pot and pray he tries to bluff raise me or he has a lone heart he wants to draw to.

[xorbie]

I like a check. You can probably get it all in on the river if he does have a jack anyway, and you can get a pretty reasonable amount from a middle pocket pair there as well, but you can also induce a bluff, or let him catch a pair with a big ace.

[wtfsvi]

That's pretty much what I thought after the hand. I can probably induce a bluff from just about anything (so if he has a high club, he'll charge himself for it anyway), and if he has a jack or a flush (or a full house [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]), I can get the money in on the river.

I bet half pot and he folded.