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  #1  
Old 08-06-2005, 05:18 PM
IIAce IIAce is offline
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Posts: 115
Default Weak Draw in a big pot.

MP3 was a huge fish. He'd play any hand preflop and call all the way to the river even if he has like 5 high. He'd also play any hand that looks good very agressively.

MP2 (me) was another fish. He called on the flop when he wasn't getting enough odds to do so (right?). After the first flop call the hand played itself.

PokerRoom 0.50/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+2 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, MP3 calls, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls, MP3 calls, CO calls.

Flop: (12.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
BB checks, checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, BB folds, UTG+2 folds, Hero calls, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, Button folds, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

Turn: (11.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

River: (14.75 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero folds, MP3 calls.

Final Pot: 16.75 BB
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  #2  
Old 08-06-2005, 05:29 PM
Bradyams Bradyams is offline
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Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

Fold flop when it's two bets to you.
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  #3  
Old 08-06-2005, 05:40 PM
Blunderfull1 Blunderfull1 is offline
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Location: Sacramento, CA
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Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

I would fold the flop as well. With so many opponents and the button representing an overpair, you cant count your overcards as outs. So you are calling based on your backdoor flush and backdoor straight draws. That is 2 outs and about 7.5 to 1 on a 22 to 1 draw.
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  #4  
Old 08-06-2005, 05:51 PM
Sasnak Sasnak is offline
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Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

[ QUOTE ]
Fold flop when it's two bets to you.

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe this flop, but not all flops.

~
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  #5  
Old 08-06-2005, 06:15 PM
bozlax bozlax is offline
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Posts: 365
Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

[ QUOTE ]
MP2 (me) was another fish. He called on the flop when he wasn't getting enough odds to do so (right?). After the first flop call the hand played itself.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with the second part of this. As to the first part, I'm not sure. You've got two backdoor draws, one to the nuts, and overcards. Getting 8:1 on your call I think it's close...if you were closing the action I'd say call, but the flop bettor is still to act along with a couple others, so....fold. But, I repeat, I think it's close.
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  #6  
Old 08-06-2005, 06:30 PM
bozlax bozlax is offline
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Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

[ QUOTE ]
I would fold the flop as well. With so many opponents and the button representing an overpair, you cant count your overcards as outs. So you are calling based on your backdoor flush and backdoor straight draws. That is 2 outs and about 7.5 to 1 on a 22 to 1 draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

You can't count them for the full 6 outs, certainly, but I can see raising, say, AKs/KQs/A8s (in one of the flopped suits) on this flop. So you give yourself 1.5 for each backdoor draw, plus maybe another 2-3 total (you could also hit two-pair to beat an overpair, remember), with the overlay from having 3 (maybe 4) opponents in the hand with you, and I think it's a lot closer than everybody's making it out to be.
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  #7  
Old 08-06-2005, 08:59 PM
baronzeus baronzeus is offline
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Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

I dunno guys. He is getting 8:1 here with two overs and 2 backdoor draws. It's certainly close, especially since Button could have two overs and be raising like a moron.

When CO 3bet you, THATs when you knew you made a bad call with only 2 backdoor draws. But just based on MP3s bet (probably with an 8) and Button's raise (probably with 2 overs) you are getting decent odds and it's certainly not horrible.
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  #8  
Old 08-06-2005, 09:42 PM
Watain Watain is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Denmark
Posts: 103
Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

[ QUOTE ]
Fold flop when it's two bets to you.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you base this recommendation upon?

I personally think it is a very close EV decision. So close that i would say it a coinflip decision. But that is JUST on the basis of my fingerspitz-gefühl...
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  #9  
Old 08-06-2005, 10:29 PM
IIAce IIAce is offline
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Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

You DO realize that for the second call (calling the CO's 3-bet) I was getting immediate 21.5-1 pot odds right? Even with only 2 backdoor draws, I had the pot odds alone to make that call ignoring implied odds.
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  #10  
Old 08-06-2005, 10:38 PM
DCWildcat DCWildcat is offline
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Location: Kentucky
Posts: 358
Default Re: Weak Draw in a big pot.

(grunch)

Ack, a flop cold-call with 2 weak overs and a backdoor draw? Your opponents may not have anything, but this is spewing against anyone, no matter how maniacal.
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