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Old 08-06-2005, 04:59 PM
emptyshell emptyshell is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 33
Default Re: PLO8, well I gave it to him eventually, anyway


Well, perhaps. But if you make the assumption that he had to have either AK, K3, or KK to make that raise (which is a bit simplifying, I know), then there was 3/11 (~25%) chance that he already had me beat. If you couple that with my mere 55-45 advantage the other 75% of the time, a fold might be better. (My win pct: 55 * .75 + 0 * 0.25 = 41%, which is less than 50%)


Of course, there is some chance he's playing some other K, or AA, or just repeatedly misclicking, which might make the call worthwhile.
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