#1
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Good Time To Fly?
I manage a portfolio for a private company worth upwards of $800,000. The owner stated that he'd like to start seeing more growth when I've returned over 15% the last year and a half. I bought 17,000 shares of Delta (DAL) yesterday at 2.33. I'm nervous. Any Help?
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#2
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
There is a famous saying in the market that top-pickers and bottom-pickers become cotton-pickers. With oil in a secular bull market, bottom-picking an airline stock is like trying to catch a falling knife. Of course, if your timing is extraordinarily good, you might do well, but I wouldn't try it. I never want to fight the major trend. Invest with the wind at your back, not in your face.
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#3
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
Thanks, I will keep this in mind. Any good picks you'd like to share? Whats in your own portfolio right now?
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#4
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
Look for major trends. Find good entry points. Cut losses. Manage risk.
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#5
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
Holdem:
1. Your client is on crack - if you really returned 15% over the last 18 mos he should be kissing you a$$ and you should be managing a fund for some real money. 2. I get very nervous when people invest without a clue - Delta is a crapshoot - you're a hero or you're toast. 3. To get differentiated returns you should stick to companies with market caps under $500 million, that's where fundamental analysis makes a big difference. |
#6
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
I do not have any particular insight into Delta Airlines, but consider this...
The airline industry is the only major industry not to have turned a net profit. That is over their entire history, the airline industry as a whole has actually lost money. Legacy airlines were going bankrupt left and right when oil was at $30/barrel... How do you think they will fare now that oil is $60/barrel? |
#7
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
[ QUOTE ]
The owner stated that he'd like to start seeing more growth when I've returned over 15% the last year and a half. I bought 17,000 shares of Delta (DAL) yesterday at 2.33. I'm nervous. Any Help? [/ QUOTE ] Update your resume. |
#8
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
[ QUOTE ]
I bought 17,000 shares of Delta (DAL) yesterday at 2.33. [/ QUOTE ] So, to try and juice your returns, you buy the worst performing stock in a weak sector? Not to mention that Delta is about 1 step away from bankruptcy and trading at its lowest level in 43 years for a reason. What is your reasoning behind making this investment? |
#9
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
good thing for me that there are a lot of people like you.
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#10
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Re: Good Time To Fly?
[ QUOTE ]
I manage a portfolio for a private company worth upwards of $800,000. [/ QUOTE ] and I post in internet poker forums for advice! |
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