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  #31  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:14 PM
Monty Cantsin Monty Cantsin is offline
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Posts: 61
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

Great thread Cartman.

Attempted to steal: 33.88
BB/Steal Opp: .146

/mc
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  #32  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:14 PM
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Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
One interesting question is whether stealing more can still be profitable, even if your BB/attempt goes down.

For example:

Does 1.6 BB/attempt with ATSB 34% net us more or less $ than 1.38 BB/attempt with ATSB 43%?

Surf

[/ QUOTE ]

It absolutly can. If you steal only with AA, your BB/ attempt will be "huge". The more hands you add, the lower the avarage BB/attempt.

The BB/opportunity however will increaqase up until a certain point...

[/ QUOTE ]

search the 'recent archives' for the article "think about shania" and you might start to question that assumption.

if you only steal with AA you will make fewer BB/attempt than you think because ppl with half a brain will VERY rarely defend against you. playing other hands get you action for your AA, and the fact that you play the good hands gets you folding equity on the high card flops. obviously there's an equilibrium point there where hands stopp adding to the overall profitablility (the extra action they create is not sufficient to compensate for their negative EV). but you could theoretically add some breakeven hands to your mix and still increase your BB/opportunity because of the metagame
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  #33  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:17 PM
sammy_g sammy_g is offline
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Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

What would be interesting is to chart the correlation between attempt to steal % and BB/opportunity.
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  #34  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:19 PM
aflaba temp aflaba temp is offline
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Posts: 118
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

Your BB/100 will be huge with only AA.

I get what you're saying though.
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  #35  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:20 PM
aslowjoe aslowjoe is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Vancouver
Posts: 36
Default Re: some more numbers

[ QUOTE ]
total bb gained by stealing rather than your bb/steal that really matters to your bottom line.

[/ QUOTE ]
isn't that what the calculation does? bb/opportunity


ASB% 30.12
No Flp 16.82
fold 22.98
wwosd 19.32
wsd 30.47
w$sd 51.86
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  #36  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:22 PM
meow_meow meow_meow is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 180
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

5-10, so it should be comparable.
FWIW, I just checked my old db, 50k hands from the second half of 2004.

winning 0.104BB/opportunity on a paltry 23% attempts, but with a whopping 20.3% no flop.

Must just be variance, because I think if anything the games have gotten tighter, not looser.
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  #37  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:27 PM
Stefan_K Stefan_K is offline
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Posts: 89
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

+0.10399 after 60k (5/10)
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  #38  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:31 PM
topspinner topspinner is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 43
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

this is for 44,000 hands at 1/2 and 2/4
ASB 29.5%
raised 1664 times $1802.61
called 397 times $49.29 obviously limping too much, have stopped doing this
folded 3973 times 0
.307 bb/opportunity
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  #39  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:40 PM
jba jba is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 672
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

my db has mixed levels but I think I did the math right

chance to steal and raised: $2029 over 572 times, .41bb/hand
chance to steal and called: -$18 over 12 times, (.3)bb/hand
chance to steal and folded: $0 over 1152 times, 0bb/hand

.13/hand
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  #40  
Old 08-04-2005, 12:43 PM
meow_meow meow_meow is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 180
Default Re: According to Peter_rus.......

[ QUOTE ]
this is for 44,000 hands at 1/2 and 2/4
ASB 29.5%
raised 1664 times $1802.61
called 397 times $49.29 obviously limping too much, have stopped doing this
folded 3973 times 0
.307 bb/opportunity

[/ QUOTE ]

dollars aren't BBs at either of these levels.
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