AKo...again

danzasmack · #1 08-01-2005, 11:20 PM

Villain is 54/10/.8 after 400 hands

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, BB calls.

Flop: (4.33 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.

Turn: (3.16 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls.

River: (5.16 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises, BB 3-bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 10.16 BB

How bad did i mess this one up. Im pretty sure I should have raised the turn? Then what to a turn 3 bet? The .8 AF originally sold me on the fold. But his river AF is 2.75

It all made sense to me when I did it, but now im playing back the hand on PT and saying "yuck"

Poker_Ink · #2 08-01-2005, 11:26 PM

I like a turn raise here. A lot of players will call a flop bet with any pair, or nothing, then bet the turn without improvement to induce a fold if they don't believe you. He could have had any K, or even something like 10J believing his 10 was good. I raise the turn here, and call if he bets the river. If he three-bets the turn, I muck.

irishpint · #3 08-01-2005, 11:30 PM

why not just call the turn and river? the donk is odd...but we do have top pair on a drawless board. id rather not fold this.

adamstewart · #4 08-02-2005, 12:26 AM

Raise the turn. Call down if 3-bet.

For those who wish to point out that villain's Aggression Factor is 0.8:

(i) it's only 400 hands. Aggression factors may not have fully converged yet.

(ii) After the turn 3-bet, Hero will be getting 8:1 to draw to improve - not to mention the times he's actually ahead anyway.

(iii) After calling the turn, and having villain bet the river. Hero will be getting 10:1 for a river call - pretty good for having TPTK with AK.

(iv) I've seen AF=0.8 players make 'moves' from time to time. Probably enough to justify calling down here.

Adam