CALL or FOLD

[dimes]

Online tourney, 11 players left, blinds 1500/3000 ante 200 and in the moneys.
small stack ~20,000 chips
big stack ~150,000
Hero 72,000


everyone folds to hero on the button
hero picks up AJs raises to 9,000

sb folds
bb (chip leader) goes all-in

Hero??

no read on bb except that he is not extremely aggressive.

I know many will say fold, but winning this hand will put hero in a commanding lead for winning the tourney.

comments??

[locutus2002]

I'm sure BB is thinking the same thing.
With ~20XBB fold.

[kiffl]

You got to fold this, almost surely beat.

[dimes]

how can you say surley beat? I can see the fold from the point where you dont want to risk your tourney. But that is an ideal position for the bb to bluff.

[dimes]

After thinking more and more and this hand, I decided to calculate the odds to see if the odds dedicate a call.
blinds and antes: 14,500
Hero raised 9000 plus BB's call 9000 = 23,500
BB raising all in = 83,500
60,000 for Hero to call, giving him 1.4:1 ODDS

Isnt that good enough for a call?

[ZBTHorton]

Insta-fold.

[dimes]

At what point do the odds dedicate a call??

[ZBTHorton]

It would have to be pretty ridiculous.

What do you think your ahead of here? Ax? Your behind any pair. I just think your behind.

I personally, don't go out there looking for ways to force me to play AJ.

[dimes]

could it not be a stone bluff? with bb's position and chip lead he could have any two cards with the way he played it

[dmk]

[ QUOTE ]
After thinking more and more and this hand, I decided to calculate the odds to see if the odds dedicate a call.
blinds and antes: 14,500
Hero raised 9000 plus BB's call 9000 = 23,500
BB raising all in = 83,500
60,000 for Hero to call, giving him 1.4:1 ODDS

Isnt that good enough for a call?

[/ QUOTE ]

You only just now calculated the odds?

Its a fold.