WSOP Day 4: "Official" News, Results, and Discussion

[Delphin]

[ QUOTE ]
chances are still against him to make the final table, to say it would be a huge shock for him not to make it is absurd

[/ QUOTE ]

Got any ICM numbers to back that up?

[BlackAces]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Phil Ivey sitting next to Mattusow with CK Hua also at the table, should be very interesting to watch

[/ QUOTE ]
Not to mention Juanda sitting to his immediate left...

[/ QUOTE ]
Matusow's at the next table over (143).

[Solitare]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
chances are still against him to make the final table, to say it would be a huge shock for him not to make it is absurd

[/ QUOTE ]

Got any ICM numbers to back that up?

[/ QUOTE ]

Look for my post up a bit.

My rough ICM calc give Raymer a 3% chance to with and a 25% chance to make the final table.

[kgrad5]

[ QUOTE ]
186 James Barber $39,075

[/ QUOTE ]

the urban peasant?

[Drewboy22]

Sweet. I have a prop bet on Raymer to make the final table at 100-1 ($10)
I also have Watkinson (150-1) and Darden (125-1).

Go Greg!!!

[toots]

Go Greg, but hey,

Go Howie!

[SmileyEH]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
186 James Barber $39,075

[/ QUOTE ]

the urban peasant?

[/ QUOTE ]

OMFG I love that guy. Man I miss that show.

-SmileyEH

[Howard Treesong]

Raymer is in a great position: he has 1.0M of the 2.6M of the chips at his table. I'm sure Greg is very aware of the appropriate strategy in this spot, but he has a sufficient chip lead at his table to force at least three of his opponents (Vannata, 84K; Pacheco, 126K; and Kaikko, 122K) to risk every chip they have every time the put one in the pot without undue risk to himself.

I don't know any of the players at Greg's table. If they're rocks hoping to move up the ladder, I'd anticipate that Greg will rob them all blind.

[JTrout]

[ QUOTE ]
According to my math based on Cardplayer stats, the average stack at the final table, (9 handed), will be 6.243 million. Fossilman at just over 1 million still has alot of players to work through to get a spot there. Doubling up 3 times will do it, but only one other player has over a million at this point.

[/ QUOTE ]

"Triple up. Then, double it."

[trevorwc]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
According to my math based on Cardplayer stats, the average stack at the final table, (9 handed), will be 6.243 million. Fossilman at just over 1 million still has alot of players to work through to get a spot there. Doubling up 3 times will do it, but only one other player has over a million at this point.

[/ QUOTE ]

"Triple up. Then, double it."

[/ QUOTE ]

nh