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#21
07-11-2005, 09:19 AM
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Re: $30/60: Risk two bets more to win another?
After the fact... since he bet the river with 55 when the straight card hit.. he's not all that straightforward or brilliant. Before the fact... I think the call is right... I'm not sure about your game, but 60-70% of the time in the games I play, that river bet is 10j. The way I see it, 30-40% of the time you call you win the pot.. same 30-40% you raise you win the pot + 1 extra bet if he calls.. If we assume 60-70% is average, (it may be higher in many games) kindergarten tells us that raising the river is -EV.
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#23
07-11-2005, 12:13 PM
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Re: $30/60: Risk two bets more to win another?
[ QUOTE ]
After the fact... since he bet the river with 55 when the straight card hit.. he's not all that straightforward or brilliant. Before the fact... I think the call is right... I'm not sure about your game, but 60-70% of the time in the games I play, that river bet is 10j. The way I see it, 30-40% of the time you call you win the pot.. same 30-40% you raise you win the pot + 1 extra bet if he calls.. If we assume 60-70% is average, (it may be higher in many games) kindergarten tells us that raising the river is -EV. [/ QUOTE ] and 2+2 now has a posterchild for the term "weak-tight". -Scott
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