Pocket AAs

[durron597]

From the 2004 World Series of Poker, day 5.

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Greg Raymer doubles up through Marcel Luske. Raymer all in with A-A preflop, Luske with A-K, the board comes Q-Q-7-7-X.

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If it's good enough for Greg Raymer, in the world series, it should be good enough for you.

You were a 91% favorite to have the best hand by the river. It is not possible for the best players to win every time. There is luck in this game. Having a 91% edge is like having your opponent allin with a 3 outer on the turn. Here's another example.

You have AK, your opponent has AT. The board on the turn is A84J, no flush possible. Would you be upset if you got allin in that situation? The river certainly could be a T, but that's certainly not a good reason to fold.

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All that being said, please read the FAQ before posting. Note that the second question is:

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Should I fold AA preflop here?

Here is an example of a thread where folding AA preflop is discussed. Note the general tone of the thread.

When should you fold AA preflop? When it's likely that folding will assure you of a greater expected value than not another action. The likely form of this occurrence is spelled out in the linked thread. Other examples are elsewhere, including in TPFAP. The general rule of thumb to consider before asking a folding AA preflop question would be to either look at an ICM calculation, or sit down with a pen and paper and try to figure out the EV of folding relative to your other options.

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