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#1
07-08-2005, 01:09 PM
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Likely bluff in a small pot?
Potowatomi 10/20 game
UTG is a smart, slightly loose player (guessing 25-30%/5%) that's flirtacious and talkative and acts like she belongs there. Hero has pocket Jacks in UTG+2. UTG calls. Hero raises. Blinds fold and UTG calls. Flop is A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5.5 SB) UTG checks. Hero bets. UTG says, "I'll take one off." and calls. Turn is a 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. (4.75 BB) UTG checks. Hero bets. UTG says, "I'll see one more." and calls. River is a A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. (6.75 BB) UTG says, "Now I'll bet." and bets. Hero folds. Should I have called the river? Would you have done anything else differently? 
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#2
07-08-2005, 02:25 PM
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Re: Likely bluff in a small pot?
I'd have called.
The 2nd A reduces that chances that you have an A in your hand and a smart player will often value bet a mediocre hand here knowing they can safely fold to a raise. She's going to have a smaller pair, or be outright bluffing, more than 1 in 8 times.
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#4
07-08-2005, 02:34 PM
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Re: Likely bluff in a small pot?
I probably would have called.
I wouldn't really expect to win, though. The river bet indicates to me that chances are she wasn't really drawing on the flop and turn. Well, she may have hoped to hit her kicker, but I think she probably has an ace and planned to show down top pair. Another possibility is that she has 77 or something and thought she was being really tricky with her flop and turn conversation. But, anyway, there is some chance she has a hand like a busted flush draw or 99, and that's why I'd most likely call.
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