|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
Re: Number of hands needed to \"know\" your winrate
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] It should be noted that all of these calculations assume that WR is normally distributed, which it is most likely not. [/ QUOTE ] I would bet quite a bit that WR cannot be normally distributed. I'm working on a better model, but it will take more data, time, and possibly smarts than I have. [/ QUOTE ] My gut is that is skewed to the right (especially in games where there tend to be 3+ players to the flop) and that is is leptokurtic (since an experts WR is ~0.03BB/hand and VPIP ~20%, 80% of the hands will have a WR of 0BB; thus, a very large number of hands are concentrated very close to the mean). |
|
|