can you be consistent winner with sports betting? - Page 4

coash · #31 06-23-2005, 07:37 AM

How do the betting sites decide the odds? do they have like a starter one then the public buys whichever and the odds change?

PennyAnte · #32 06-23-2005, 09:34 AM

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How do the betting sites decide the odds? do they have like a starter one then the public buys whichever and the odds change?

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Las Vegas Sports Consultants puts out the opening number, and some casinos/sports books allow pros to bet into these lines before they are made available to the general public, to sharpen the lines.

TheGame1020 · #33 06-23-2005, 10:25 AM

The NFL is cake compared to other sports. There is no doubt about it. A sharp or handicapper has such a MASSIVE edge because its so easy to tell which side is wrong because of the massive public opinion and massive amount of square bettors. If you can't beat the NFL, don't even bother betting other sports.

calling all cars · #34 06-23-2005, 10:35 AM

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Profitable baseball betting isn't about picking winners. It's about uncovering mispriced lines and letting all of those little edges accumulate over the course of a season.

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Love the attitude; I agree completely. However, my baseball betting career is still in its infancy--how about throwing me a bone and recommending a book or two? Or are they all misinformed--I'm sure many are.

thanks

lastsamurai · #35 06-23-2005, 03:28 PM

I went to vegas a couple of years ago and met these "professional gamblers" they told me they use trends to beat the book. Only bet on college football and basketball. Using these trends they hit 70-80 of the games they bet on and bet big when one of the trends come up. Ever since that meeting i am a firm believer that people could make money just betting on sports.

tech · #36 06-23-2005, 03:58 PM

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Using these trends they hit 70-80 of the games they bet on and bet big when one of the trends come up.

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Nobody wins 70%-80% ATS over a decent number of wagers, not even the very best of the best.

TheGame1020 · #37 06-23-2005, 06:03 PM

LOL. 70%? 80%? These number are absurd. 60% is an amazing accomplishment, very rarely acheived. Anyone who says they hit 70% or higher is simply lying.

coash · #38 06-23-2005, 11:13 PM

What 60% ATS WTF

lastsamurai · #39 06-24-2005, 02:31 AM

ats= against the spread

sportypicks.com · #40 06-24-2005, 11:26 AM

"Profitable baseball betting isn't about picking winners. It's about uncovering mispriced lines and letting all of those little edges accumulate over the course of a season."

Mr.Baseball,
There might not be a more accurate statement ever written. You definitely know your stuff. I would say this is true about every sport, it's just realized more in baseball because of the sheer number of games and the compounding that occurs.

Also, show me somebody who wins over 57% LONG TERM and I'll show you the "Holy Grail" of handicapping. Because it just doesn't exist.

This thread has generated some good conversation though