#1
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AA, one caller, 6max NL50
villain was 50 VP$IP, 5 PFR 1.2 agf
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 max, 5 handed) converter Hero ($134.87) UTG ($59.33) MP ($63.8) Button ($103.95) SB ($48) Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, Button calls $2. Flop: ($6.25) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5</font>, Button calls $5. Turn: ($16.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>, Button calls $8. River: ($32.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $45</font>, Hero ????. |
#2
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Re: AA, one caller, 6max NL50
assuming no good reads..... my nooby ass would call knowing im beat with a boat, or straight, then throw a hissy fit
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#3
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Re: AA, one caller, 6max NL50
Fold. So many hands can beat you. He can have been slowplaying a set. He can have AJ and he can also have KTs (considering rainbow flop+turn). I would fold if I don't have a good read that he can make these kind of bluffs. He must think you have at least AQ. His bet look to small to be a steal. And if he thinks you have at least AQ, why will he reraise you with anything worse than a straight or the J? It's only $30 more to call for a $92.25 pot. That bet is a value bet.
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#4
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Re: AA, one caller, 6max NL50
yes, I folded, my thinking was just that too many likely hands had me beat, the thing that concerned me was how good of a bluffing spot that card gave him, hopefully he doesn't even think about bluffing [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#5
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Re: AA, one caller, 6max NL50
I'm at least 80% sure he's got the jack. Hey, that's an AC/DC song. Except she's got the jack in that one. Nevermind.
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#6
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Re: AA, one caller, 6max NL50
I might full pot the turn, if he only has a J there he'll probably lay it down. I know the 9 is a semi scare, but I say semi because he can only have a KT straight here (surely T7 would have folded already?). Can you assume that he'll call 5 into 6.5 on OESD? I'd bet 5 into 6.5 on it, but dunno if I'd cold call it.
If he calls/raises a pot sized bet on the turn you can check/fold the river when the board pairs J. Any other thoughts? Drink More, RedRum |
#7
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Re: AA, one caller, 6max NL50
I am certain he would call the flop bet with KT, he has position and an over. But I don't think that was what he had, since he only had 5% pfr I don't think that fits the range, I am leaning towards a slowplayed set, where he just wants me to hang myself. Might also be just top pair and he made a good riverbluff, but didn't really feel like he was that tricky. But I agree, my turn bet should probably have been a bit bigger, at least 4/5 of the pot.
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