Okay to Fold AA?

[BoxTree]

20/40 Live (Commerce), 9-handed

Hero has A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] UTG+1.

UTG Limps, Hero raises, One Caller, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop (4 players, 9 sb): 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Check, check, Hero bets, everyone calls.

Turn (4 players, 6.5 bb): 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Check, check, Hero bets, fold, SB calls, UTG calls.

River (3 players, 9.5 bb): 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
SB bets, UTG calls, Hero...?

I'm getting 11.5:1 here. Can I win often enough for a call to be correct?

The SB epitomizes mediocrity. He could be betting any pair here hoping that UTG has nothing and I have AK. The overcaller is pathetically loose preflop but pretty decent postflop; I have a very, very, hard time believing that he's overcalling with just one pair. But then again....

"Don't make good folds in big pots," probably applies here.

"Call, you'll sleep better," doesn't seem right since I'll get to see both hands no matter what.

"Call for one bet on the river, you candy-ass," also seems right.

Okay, so who hates my call? Who hates my fold?

[pandared]

11.5 to 1...make the crying call

[Evan]

[ QUOTE ]
The SB epitomizes mediocrity. He could be betting any pair here

[/ QUOTE ]
You answered your own question.

[BoxTree]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
The SB epitomizes mediocrity. He could be betting any pair here

[/ QUOTE ]
You answered your own question.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, I guess UTG could have the same read on the SB as I do (remember, UTG has nearly 100% VPIP but is decent postflop) and be calling with a pair.

Anyhow, I folded (oops).

SB shows 75 for rivered two-pair, and UTG shows 96 for rivered straight. He explained why he didn't raise, "I figured we [the SB and I] were chopping."

Still, I should have called.